D.A.S. Fraser

Department of Statistics
University of Toronto
100 St George Street, Toronto
Canada M5S 3G3

Office: Sidney Smith Hall, 100 St George Street, Rm. 6013.

phone: 416 978 4448 or 416 978 3452
fax: (416) 978-5133.
e-mail: dfraser at utstat.toronto.edu.

Is Bayes really real probability?

Or just opinion or maybe approximate confidence?

• Colloque du CRM: 6 novembre 2009.

Is Bayes posterior just quick and dirty confidence?

• Current manuscript.

Higher accuracy for Bayesian and frequentist inference

• Statistical Science, Vol 22, May 2007.

Studentization and developing p-values

• Biometrika, Vol 95 (2008), 1-16.

Can Bayesians compete with frequentists?

• Bayesian or frequentist: Three enigmatic examples

Controversy or did Lindley get it wrong?

• Did Lindley get the argument the wrong way around?
  

Some Recent Talks and Papers

• University of Cambridge, Statistical Laboratory, Cambridge, U.K. May 8, 2009.
  
  • Likelihood, p-values, ancillaries and the vector quantile function.
    Click here for audio presentation.
    
• University of Wales; Gregynog, Wales, April 18, 19, 2008.
  
  • Parameter curvature and the Bayesian frequentist divergence.
    
• McMaster University, April 1, 2008.
  
  • Bayesian posterior probability is just confidence and inconveniently needs linearity.
    
• University of Western Ontario, February 7, 2008.
  
  • The Bayes myth - Probabilities. Or just approximate confidence.
    
• Princeton University, ORFE, February 13, 2007.
  
  • Data-based probability for parameter values
    
• Univ of Western Ontario, Dept of Actuarial Science and Statistics, December 8, 2005.
  
  • Should Bayesians and frequentists calibrate their parameters?
    
• Univ of Waterloo, Dept of Actuarial Science and Statistics, November 17, 2005.
  
  • Some thoughts on model-based priors
    
• Statistical Society of Canada, Annual meeting, Saskatoon, June13, 2005.
  
  • Bayes or Likelihood: Convergence or Divergence
    
• OBayes5, Branson, Missouri, June 8, 2005
  
  • Objective and other priors
    
• Munk Centre: Department of Statistics seminar, April 28, 2005
  
  • Why a prior?
    
• Recent likelihood theory: Anything new?
  
  • What a model with data says about theta
    
• Statistical Society of Canada, Annual meeting, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, June 12-15, 2005.
  
  • Session: Bayes or Likelihood: Convergence or Divergence
    Speakers: T. Severini, Northwestern University, J. Rousseau, University of Paris 5, and organizer.
  • Session program: Bayes or Likelihood: Convergence or Divergence
    
• Case Western Reserve University, Department of Statistics
  
  • Is there statistical inference? The Bayesian-frequentist divergence!
    October 1, 2004
• Fields Institute Lectures: Is the future Bayesian or frequentist?
  
  • Lecture 1: April 16, 2002
    History and overview
    
  • Lecture 2: April 18, 2002
    Examples, conflicts, resolutions



Papers by index number

• In pdf format



Current CV

• In html format (with links to papers in pdf format)
• In pdf format

Department of Statistics Home Page